Pregnancy Due Date Calculator: How Accurate Is It?
What to expect from your estimated delivery date.
A pregnancy due date calculator estimates when your baby will arrive based on the first day of your last menstrual period (LMP). Most calculators use Naegele's Rule: add 7 days to the LMP, then subtract 3 months and add 1 year.

How Accurate Is It?
Only about 4–5% of babies are born exactly on their due date. Most deliveries occur within a 2-week window before or after the estimated date. This is why doctors often refer to it as an "estimated date of delivery" (EDD) rather than a guaranteed date.
When Is an Ultrasound More Accurate?
A first-trimester ultrasound (between weeks 8 and 13) is the most accurate way to date a pregnancy. If your ultrasound EDD differs from your LMP-based EDD by more than 5–7 days, your doctor will usually adjust the due date to match the ultrasound.
Factors That Can Shift the Due Date
- Irregular cycles
- Not knowing the exact LMP
- Conception occurring later than expected
- Assisted reproductive technologies (e.g., IVF)
What "Full Term" Really Means
Doctors now use these categories instead of a single due date:
- Early term: 37–38 weeks
- Full term: 39–40 weeks
- Late term: 41 weeks
- Post term: 42 weeks or more
Calculate your estimated due date with our free due date calculator.
Book a telemedicine consultation or lab review with Dr. Taimoor Asghar.